Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 52.1% vs Couture 49.4% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Couture leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 54.8%
Defensive zone
Couture 72.3%
Neutral zone
Couture 58.3%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Brassard
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Brassard
Couture
Last 10: Brassard 6-4 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Couture
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Brassard
Couture
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
2
6
Brassard
Couture
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (368)
50.8% (714)
+2.5%
Power Play
50.0% (62)
51.9% (79)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
37.4% (107)
+2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Brassard is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Brassard shoots left. Couture is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Home / Away
Brassard
Couture
Home
52.6% (247)
47.6% (456)
Away
52.7% (188)
51.1% (444)
By Period
Brassard
Couture
P1
52.5%
50.8%
P2
56.6%
48.1%
P3
49.0%
48.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
52.6%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 19:16 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 04:41 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 15:39 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 16:02 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 18:04 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 08:56 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 10:41 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |