Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Toews wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.8% vs Couture 50.4% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 96.9%
Defensive zone
Toews 80.4%
Neutral zone
Toews 89.0%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 88.9%
88.9%
11.1%
Toews
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
3
(15 meetings)
12
3
Toews
Couture
Last 10: Toews 8-2 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Couture
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Couture
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
7
2
Toews
Couture
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,143)
51.0% (839)
+4.9%
Power Play
65.1% (304)
54.2% (48)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (97)
39.7% (63)
+8.8%
On power play, Toews has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Toews shoots left. Couture is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Toews
Couture
Home
61.7% (810)
51.3% (462)
Away
52.3% (734)
49.6% (488)
By Period
Toews
Couture
P1
56.0%
54.4%
P2
56.9%
49.4%
P3
59.3%
46.9%
OT
50.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
61.2%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2014 | 1 | 16:52 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 1 | 11:03 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 3 | 02:47 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 17:34 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 08:16 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 17:30 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 15:27 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 13:37 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |