Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Couture 47.6% (+15.7%)
H2H factor
Couture leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Couture 73.4%
Defensive zone
Couture 80.3%
Neutral zone
Couture 85.9%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 83.7%
16.3%
83.7%
Toews
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Toews
Couture
Last 10: Toews 3-7 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
3
Toews
Couture
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
2
4
Toews
Couture
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
49.2% (1,083)
+11.9%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
56.7% (60)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
35.4% (206)
+24.2%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Toews shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Toews
Couture
Home
64.8% (560)
49.6% (713)
Away
60.6% (381)
45.0% (636)
By Period
Toews
Couture
P1
62.3%
47.2%
P2
63.9%
45.0%
P3
62.8%
50.0%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 07:30 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 06:52 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:28 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:17 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:59 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |