Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.4% vs 48.0%). Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Couture wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.6% vs Scheifele 48.1% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 73.6%
Defensive zone
Couture 79.5%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 50.7%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Couture
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Couture
Scheifele
Last 9: Couture 4-5 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
4
Couture
Scheifele
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
4
0
Couture
Scheifele
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Couture
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,083)
47.8% (960)
+1.4%
Power Play
56.7% (60)
47.0% (219)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (206)
60.7% (28)
-25.3%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Couture is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Couture shoots left. Scheifele is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Couture
Scheifele
Home
49.6% (713)
50.7% (611)
Away
45.0% (636)
45.1% (596)
By Period
Couture
Scheifele
P1
47.2%
51.4%
P2
45.0%
47.3%
P3
50.0%
45.0%
OT
50.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
42.8%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 15:10 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:21 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Logan Couture |