Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.6% vs McTavish 43.3% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 55.8%
Defensive zone
McTavish 53.2%
Neutral zone
McTavish 60.1%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Couture
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Couture
McTavish
Last 6: Couture 2-4 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Couture
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Couture
McTavish
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,083)
42.4% (675)
+6.8%
Power Play
56.7% (60)
40.5% (42)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (206)
50.0% (8)
-14.6%
On power play, Couture has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Couture shoots left. McTavish is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Couture
McTavish
Home
49.6% (713)
41.9% (372)
Away
45.0% (636)
42.8% (353)
By Period
Couture
McTavish
P1
47.2%
47.2%
P2
45.0%
36.2%
P3
50.0%
43.6%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.8%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 17:20 | Neutral | Logan Couture |