Scouting Report
Matt Boldy holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.6% vs Boldy 52.7% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boldy 84.7%
Defensive zone
Couture 79.8%
Neutral zone
Boldy 67.2%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Couture
Boldy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Couture
Boldy
Last 5: Couture 3-2 Boldy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boldy
0
1
Couture
Boldy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
1
Couture
Boldy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
1
0
Couture
Boldy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Boldy
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,083)
57.7% (97)
-8.5%
Power Play
56.7% (60)
46.2% (39)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (206)
60.0% (5)
-24.6%
On penalty kill, Boldy has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boldy shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Couture shoots left. Boldy is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Home / Away
Couture
Boldy
Home
49.6% (713)
57.5% (80)
Away
45.0% (636)
50.8% (61)
By Period
Couture
Boldy
P1
47.2%
54.5%
P2
45.0%
55.6%
P3
50.0%
56.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.8%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Boldy
56.0%▲
45.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Matt Boldy |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 05:03 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 06:19 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |