Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 50.4% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 62.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 55.7%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 57.0%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Couture
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Couture
Bjugstad
Last 10: Couture 3-7 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Couture
Bjugstad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
3
Couture
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Couture
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (839)
48.3% (937)
+2.7%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
56.1% (148)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (63)
34.2% (38)
+5.5%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Couture is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Couture shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Couture
Bjugstad
Home
51.3% (462)
50.5% (574)
Away
49.6% (488)
47.2% (549)
By Period
Couture
Bjugstad
P1
54.4%
52.4%
P2
49.4%
46.8%
P3
46.9%
45.5%
OT
58.8%
78.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
50.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 04:26 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 04:02 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 11:55 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 11:37 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |