Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 48.9%). Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings). Couture wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 24-14 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Couture 50.1%
Defensive zone
Couture 50.5%
Neutral zone
Couture 50.5%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Couture
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
24
(38 meetings)
14
24
Couture
Bjugstad
Last 10: Couture 2-8 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
Couture
Bjugstad
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
5
10
Couture
Bjugstad
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
8
Couture
Bjugstad
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (8,919)
48.6% (6,634)
+0.2%
Power Play
54.6% (624)
55.2% (829)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (992)
44.3% (614)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Couture is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,626).
Couture shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Home / Away
Couture
Bjugstad
Home
49.4% (5,418)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
47.1% (5,135)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Couture
Bjugstad
P1
47.9%
49.0%
P2
47.9%
49.1%
P3
49.2%
48.4%
OT
48.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
45.7%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 13:26 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 10:27 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 06:45 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 08:56 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 13:27 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 12:43 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |