Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 49.0% vs Bonino 50.8% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 73.4%
Defensive zone
Bonino 61.6%
Neutral zone
Bonino 52.9%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Couture
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Couture
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
0
Couture
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Couture
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Couture
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (78)
51.8% (305)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
48.5% (101)
+15.1%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Couture is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Couture shoots left. Bonino is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Couture
Bonino
Home
45.2% (62)
53.1% (177)
Away
52.9% (34)
49.3% (229)
By Period
Couture
Bonino
P1
55.2%
55.9%
P2
44.4%
49.6%
P3
50.0%
47.6%
OT
16.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Logan Couture |