Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs Spaling 49.9% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Couture 54.1%
Defensive zone
Spaling 51.2%
Neutral zone
Couture 50.8%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Couture
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Couture
Spaling
Last 10: Couture 4-6 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
4
2
Couture
Spaling
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
2
4
Couture
Spaling
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
2
Couture
Spaling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (8,919)
50.5% (2,263)
-1.7%
Power Play
54.6% (624)
43.4% (53)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (992)
48.0% (498)
-8.2%
On power play, Couture has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Couture shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Home / Away
Couture
Spaling
Home
49.4% (5,418)
51.9% (1,437)
Away
47.1% (5,135)
47.8% (1,378)
By Period
Couture
Spaling
P1
47.9%
49.8%
P2
47.9%
48.3%
P3
49.2%
52.0%
OT
48.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 2, 2013 | OT | 01:20 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 17:22 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 17:20 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 09:58 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 02:49 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 8, 2011 | OT | 01:42 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 10:05 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 1 | 13:48 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |