Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Couture wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 53.0% vs Gaustad 59.0% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 82.7%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 55.8%
Neutral zone
Couture 63.0%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Couture
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Couture
Gaustad
Last 6: Couture 2-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
1
Couture
Gaustad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Couture
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (709)
58.6% (790)
-5.1%
Power Play
55.4% (139)
66.7% (93)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
61.0% (269)
-18.6%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Couture is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (602).
Couture shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Couture
Gaustad
Home
55.3% (454)
60.6% (554)
Away
51.4% (434)
58.9% (604)
By Period
Couture
Gaustad
P1
52.4%
61.3%
P2
57.3%
55.5%
P3
50.3%
62.3%
OT
53.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
53.4%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2011 | 3 | 04:22 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 1 | 18:04 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 2 | 15:14 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Logan Couture |