Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 22-8 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Couture 96.2%
Defensive zone
Couture 82.0%
Neutral zone
Couture 92.6%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 88.1%
88.1%
11.9%
Couture
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
22
(30 meetings)
8
22
Couture
Gaustad
Last 10: Couture 1-9 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
6
4
Couture
Gaustad
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
15
Couture
Gaustad
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
3
Couture
Gaustad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (8,919)
58.2% (4,334)
-9.4%
Power Play
54.6% (624)
65.4% (188)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (992)
54.8% (1,290)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Couture shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Couture
Gaustad
Home
49.4% (5,418)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
47.1% (5,135)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Couture
Gaustad
P1
47.9%
58.2%
P2
47.9%
56.4%
P3
49.2%
58.3%
OT
48.0%
66.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2016 | 1 | 04:13 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 3 | 07:34 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 14:38 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 13:12 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 17, 2015 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 17, 2015 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 15:13 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 14:08 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 10:53 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 10:24 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Logan Couture |