Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Couture wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 51.3% vs Gaustad 57.9% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 83.2%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 56.4%
Neutral zone
Couture 61.8%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Couture
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Couture
Gaustad
Last 9: Couture 3-6 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
1
Couture
Gaustad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
5
Couture
Gaustad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (453)
59.8% (353)
-8.6%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
66.7% (15)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
59.3% (27)
58.0% (81)
+1.3%
On power play, Gaustad has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Couture is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Couture shoots left. Gaustad is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Couture
Gaustad
Home
54.4% (261)
62.1% (195)
Away
48.2% (228)
57.9% (254)
By Period
Couture
Gaustad
P1
57.6%
59.4%
P2
48.4%
58.1%
P3
47.7%
61.3%
OT
54.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.5%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
51.5%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 10:24 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 02:35 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 10:53 | Offensive | Logan Couture |