Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 50.4% vs Gaustad 57.4% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 84.5%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 60.2%
Neutral zone
Couture 64.2%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Couture
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Couture
Gaustad
Last 6: Couture 2-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
0
Couture
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Couture
Gaustad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
2
Couture
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (839)
59.3% (913)
-8.3%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
72.2% (18)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (63)
52.8% (269)
-13.1%
On power play, Gaustad has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Couture is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Couture shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Couture
Gaustad
Home
51.3% (462)
58.6% (604)
Away
49.6% (488)
57.4% (596)
By Period
Couture
Gaustad
P1
54.4%
61.5%
P2
49.4%
55.7%
P3
46.9%
56.6%
OT
58.8%
75.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
50.4%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 15:13 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 14:08 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 10:53 | Offensive | Logan Couture |