Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.5% vs Gaustad 54.7% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 92.9%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 55.3%
Neutral zone
Couture 72.0%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Couture
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Couture
Gaustad
Last 5: Couture 1-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
0
Couture
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Couture
Gaustad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Couture
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (527)
56.2% (603)
-8.6%
Power Play
0.0% (6)
71.4% (21)
-71.4%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
49.3% (148)
-2.8%
On power play, Gaustad has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Couture is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Couture shoots left. Gaustad is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Couture
Gaustad
Home
48.2% (309)
55.5% (366)
Away
45.7% (267)
55.2% (406)
By Period
Couture
Gaustad
P1
42.9%
55.0%
P2
49.0%
56.9%
P3
50.6%
53.7%
OT
20.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
41.2%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.0%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2016 | 1 | 04:13 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 3 | 07:34 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 14:38 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 13:12 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |