Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 35 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs Stastny 55.1% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 59-49 in 108 meetings
Offensive zone
Couture 66.4%
Defensive zone
Couture 67.4%
Neutral zone
Couture 66.4%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Couture
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
49
-
59
(108 meetings)
49
59
Couture
Stastny
Last 10: Couture 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
19
10
Couture
Stastny
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
10
25
Couture
Stastny
35 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
20
24
Couture
Stastny
44 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (8,919)
54.6% (10,616)
-5.8%
Power Play
54.6% (624)
59.1% (1,994)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (992)
52.9% (1,119)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Couture shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Couture
Stastny
Home
49.4% (5,418)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
47.1% (5,135)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Couture
Stastny
P1
47.9%
56.3%
P2
47.9%
55.4%
P3
49.2%
53.5%
OT
48.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
45.7%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 13:50 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 1 | 13:35 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 14:05 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 2 | 13:57 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 1 | 11:52 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 2 | 03:20 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 1 | 05:21 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 18, 2019 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 14:05 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 00:22 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 1 | 14:06 | Offensive | Logan Couture |