Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.6% vs Stastny 56.3% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 74.3%
Defensive zone
Couture 74.6%
Neutral zone
Couture 53.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Couture
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Couture
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Couture
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
1
0
Couture
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,083)
57.5% (412)
-8.3%
Power Play
56.7% (60)
60.0% (65)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (206)
44.4% (9)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Couture shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Couture
Stastny
Home
49.6% (713)
58.3% (276)
Away
45.0% (636)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Couture
Stastny
P1
47.2%
63.7%
P2
45.0%
57.3%
P3
50.0%
50.4%
Final 5 min
42.8%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 13:50 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |