Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Couture wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 40.7% vs Stastny 55.4% (-16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 86.5%
Defensive zone
Couture 85.2%
Neutral zone
Couture 85.2%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 85.4%
85.4%
14.6%
Couture
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Couture
Stastny
Last 7: Couture 1-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
0
Couture
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Couture
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Couture
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (690)
55.4% (1,004)
-15.5%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
59.0% (210)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (54)
54.1% (196)
-20.8%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Couture is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Couture shoots left. Stastny is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Couture
Stastny
Home
41.3% (368)
56.5% (717)
Away
37.7% (385)
55.0% (693)
By Period
Couture
Stastny
P1
40.1%
56.7%
P2
38.4%
57.7%
P3
40.5%
52.1%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.1%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
39.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 00:12 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 12:52 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 09:57 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |