Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Couture wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 46.8% vs Stastny 54.6% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 71.0%
Defensive zone
Stastny 57.4%
Neutral zone
Stastny 77.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
Couture
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Couture
Stastny
Last 5: Couture 3-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
0
Couture
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Couture
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Couture
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (275)
54.8% (1,130)
-8.6%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
59.1% (235)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (34)
49.3% (150)
-5.2%
On power play, Stastny has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Couture is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Couture shoots left. Stastny is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (947).
Home / Away
Couture
Stastny
Home
46.1% (154)
55.5% (803)
Away
45.6% (171)
54.2% (712)
By Period
Couture
Stastny
P1
45.0%
57.4%
P2
40.8%
52.5%
P3
50.8%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
69.6%
Final 5 min
48.1%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
45.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2018 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 1 | 14:06 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 1 | 02:44 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |