Logan Couture vs Pavel Buchnevich
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +17.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Buchnevich on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.6% vs Buchnevich 36.3% (+17.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 51.8%
Defensive zone
Couture 70.9%
Neutral zone
Couture 55.4%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Couture
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Couture
Buchnevich
Last 8: Couture 4-4 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
1
3
Couture
Buchnevich
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
0
Couture
Buchnevich
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Couture
Buchnevich
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,083)
28.6% (192)
+20.6%
Power Play
56.7% (60)
55.6% (9)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (206)
30.8% (13)
+4.6%
On even strength, Couture has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Couture shoots left. Buchnevich is 28.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Couture
Buchnevich
Home
49.6% (713)
30.4% (112)
Away
45.0% (636)
29.4% (102)
By Period
Couture
Buchnevich
P1
47.2%
27.7%
P2
45.0%
33.3%
P3
50.0%
27.7%
Final 5 min
42.8%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
29.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:19 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 04:55 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 04:26 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 10:30 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 04:32 | Defensive | Logan Couture |