Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.8% vs Zacha 50.1% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 71.0%
Defensive zone
Couture 62.4%
Neutral zone
Zacha 53.5%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Couture
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Couture
Zacha
Last 9: Couture 6-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
3
0
Couture
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
1
Couture
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Couture
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (986)
48.0% (296)
+0.7%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
61.0% (59)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (195)
50.0% (22)
-5.9%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Couture is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (826).
Couture shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Couture
Zacha
Home
47.2% (625)
48.9% (223)
Away
50.2% (650)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Couture
Zacha
P1
46.8%
47.9%
P2
49.8%
48.3%
P3
49.8%
54.3%
OT
46.2%
44.4%
Final 5 min
47.8%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.7%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 02:38 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 13:12 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 19:27 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 08:17 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 05:25 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 02:38 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |