Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.8% vs Nash 51.7% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 72.9%
Defensive zone
Couture 58.4%
Neutral zone
Couture 62.7%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Couture
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Couture
Nash
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Couture
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Couture
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (986)
54.1% (292)
-5.4%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
57.1% (7)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (195)
45.9% (98)
-1.8%
On even strength, Nash has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Couture is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Couture shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Couture
Nash
Home
47.2% (625)
56.3% (183)
Away
50.2% (650)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Couture
Nash
P1
46.8%
58.9%
P2
49.8%
51.0%
P3
49.8%
46.5%
OT
46.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.7%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Riley Nash |