Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Couture wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.5% vs Kesler 58.0% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 81.0%
Defensive zone
Couture 77.1%
Neutral zone
Couture 81.7%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Couture
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Couture
Kesler
Last 6: Couture 1-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Couture
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Couture
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (527)
58.6% (1,138)
-11.0%
Power Play
0.0% (6)
64.5% (186)
-64.5%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
55.0% (351)
-8.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +64.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Couture is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Couture shoots left. Kesler is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,168).
Home / Away
Couture
Kesler
Home
48.2% (309)
61.0% (859)
Away
45.7% (267)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Couture
Kesler
P1
42.9%
59.1%
P2
49.0%
56.5%
P3
50.6%
60.5%
OT
20.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
41.2%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.0%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 19:21 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 15:41 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 06:26 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 08:55 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |