Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 37 meetings). Couture wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs Kesler 55.9% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 53-42 in 95 meetings
Offensive zone
Couture 71.1%
Defensive zone
Couture 78.5%
Neutral zone
Couture 80.2%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Couture
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
42
-
53
(95 meetings)
42
53
Couture
Kesler
Last 10: Couture 6-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
14
16
Couture
Kesler
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
12
16
Couture
Kesler
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
16
21
Couture
Kesler
37 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (8,919)
56.4% (8,095)
-7.6%
Power Play
54.6% (624)
60.7% (1,437)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (992)
50.5% (1,908)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Couture is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,626).
Couture shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Couture
Kesler
Home
49.4% (5,418)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
47.1% (5,135)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Couture
Kesler
P1
47.9%
56.5%
P2
47.9%
55.9%
P3
49.2%
56.1%
OT
48.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 13:31 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 12:57 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 10:54 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 1 | 00:12 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 00:23 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 08:45 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 02:26 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 2 | 12:59 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 2 | 12:44 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 2 | 11:06 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 09:44 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 25, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |