Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.4% vs 48.2%). Look for Couture on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.6% vs McLeod 48.4% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 62.6%
Defensive zone
Couture 53.8%
Neutral zone
McLeod 57.5%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Couture
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Couture
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
3
0
Couture
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Couture
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,083)
49.0% (500)
+0.2%
Power Play
56.7% (60)
43.8% (48)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (206)
44.0% (50)
-8.6%
On power play, Couture has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Couture shoots left. McLeod is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Couture
McLeod
Home
49.6% (713)
50.9% (291)
Away
45.0% (636)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Couture
McLeod
P1
47.2%
44.3%
P2
45.0%
52.4%
P3
50.0%
47.8%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 08:39 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 12:14 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:53 | Offensive | Logan Couture |