Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Couture wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs Carrick 52.1% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Couture 85.7%
Defensive zone
Couture 59.8%
Neutral zone
Couture 70.0%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Couture
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
14
(20 meetings)
6
14
Couture
Carrick
Last 10: Couture 3-7 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
4
Couture
Carrick
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
3
6
Couture
Carrick
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
2
4
Couture
Carrick
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (8,919)
52.1% (2,513)
-3.3%
Power Play
54.6% (624)
61.3% (75)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (992)
50.7% (430)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Couture is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,626).
Couture shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Couture
Carrick
Home
49.4% (5,418)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
47.1% (5,135)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Couture
Carrick
P1
47.9%
51.8%
P2
47.9%
52.2%
P3
49.2%
52.4%
Final 5 min
45.7%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2024 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 15:23 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 02:12 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 04:42 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 03:35 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 05:55 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 1 | 12:53 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |