Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Couture wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 49.0% vs Carrick 53.0% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 56.8%
Defensive zone
Carrick 89.8%
Neutral zone
Carrick 76.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 89.8%
10.2%
89.8%
Couture
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Couture
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
0
Couture
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (78)
53.9% (521)
-9.0%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
57.1% (35)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
51.5% (229)
+12.1%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Couture is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Couture shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Couture
Carrick
Home
45.2% (62)
52.7% (408)
Away
52.9% (34)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Couture
Carrick
P1
55.2%
51.4%
P2
44.4%
56.6%
P3
50.0%
52.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2024 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Logan Couture |