Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs Steel 50.2% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 20-18 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Couture 50.2%
Defensive zone
Couture 59.7%
Neutral zone
Steel 50.5%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Couture
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
20
(38 meetings)
18
20
Couture
Steel
Last 10: Couture 5-5 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Couture
Steel
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
6
3
Couture
Steel
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
5
10
Couture
Steel
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (8,919)
50.5% (2,871)
-1.7%
Power Play
54.6% (624)
62.6% (179)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (992)
37.8% (246)
+2.0%
On power play, Steel has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Couture shoots left. Steel is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,067).
Home / Away
Couture
Steel
Home
49.4% (5,418)
50.0% (1,551)
Away
47.1% (5,135)
50.3% (1,745)
By Period
Couture
Steel
P1
47.9%
51.9%
P2
47.9%
49.5%
P3
49.2%
49.5%
OT
48.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
45.7%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 12:54 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 04:52 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 15:41 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 01:44 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 1 | 10:39 | Offensive | Sam Steel |