Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.6% vs Steel 48.8% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 70.2%
Defensive zone
Couture 57.9%
Neutral zone
Steel 63.8%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Couture
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Couture
Steel
Last 5: Couture 4-1 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
1
Couture
Steel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
0
Couture
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,083)
49.5% (553)
-0.3%
Power Play
56.7% (60)
61.3% (31)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (206)
30.6% (49)
+4.8%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Couture shoots left. Steel is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Couture
Steel
Home
49.6% (713)
46.4% (347)
Away
45.0% (636)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Couture
Steel
P1
47.2%
52.1%
P2
45.0%
49.8%
P3
50.0%
45.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.8%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Logan Couture |