Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 49.4%). Look for Couture on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.8% vs Kuraly 49.5% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 61.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 71.0%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 54.3%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Couture
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Couture
Kuraly
Last 9: Couture 5-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
1
Couture
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Couture
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
2
1
Couture
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (986)
52.3% (982)
-3.6%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
41.9% (43)
+16.6%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (195)
39.2% (245)
+4.9%
On power play, Couture has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Couture is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (826).
Couture shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Couture
Kuraly
Home
47.2% (625)
50.3% (680)
Away
50.2% (650)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Couture
Kuraly
P1
46.8%
49.5%
P2
49.8%
49.6%
P3
49.8%
49.0%
OT
46.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.8%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 13:55 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 00:21 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 16:41 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 06:54 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 06:47 | Offensive | Logan Couture |