Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 50.4% vs Monahan 46.3% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 64.6%
Defensive zone
Monahan 63.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 61.1%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Couture
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Couture
Monahan
Last 5: Couture 1-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Couture
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Couture
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (839)
45.9% (908)
+5.1%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
49.1% (108)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (63)
30.0% (20)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Couture is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Couture shoots left. Monahan is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Home / Away
Couture
Monahan
Home
51.3% (462)
48.7% (528)
Away
49.6% (488)
43.1% (508)
By Period
Couture
Monahan
P1
54.4%
50.1%
P2
49.4%
44.7%
P3
46.9%
42.7%
OT
58.8%
55.6%
Final 5 min
43.6%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
50.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2014 | 1 | 06:28 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 08:11 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 07:28 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 18:16 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |