Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 36 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs Monahan 51.3% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 52-40 in 92 meetings
Offensive zone
Couture 58.5%
Defensive zone
Couture 77.0%
Neutral zone
Couture 66.0%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Couture
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
52
(92 meetings)
40
52
Couture
Monahan
Last 10: Couture 2-8 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
14
22
Couture
Monahan
36 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
9
11
Couture
Monahan
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
17
19
Couture
Monahan
36 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (8,919)
51.1% (11,356)
-2.3%
Power Play
54.6% (624)
53.7% (2,580)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (992)
46.0% (766)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Couture shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Couture
Monahan
Home
49.4% (5,418)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
47.1% (5,135)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Couture
Monahan
P1
47.9%
50.9%
P2
47.9%
51.7%
P3
49.2%
51.0%
OT
48.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
45.7%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:13 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 11:25 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 01:17 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 16:51 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 3 | 04:03 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 15:45 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 08:54 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 05:59 | Neutral | Logan Couture |