Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 23 meetings). Couture wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs Bozak 53.4% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 33-27 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Couture 61.6%
Defensive zone
Couture 62.1%
Neutral zone
Couture 60.1%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Couture
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
33
(60 meetings)
27
33
Couture
Bozak
Last 10: Couture 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
11
8
Couture
Bozak
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
9
14
Couture
Bozak
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
7
11
Couture
Bozak
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (8,919)
53.7% (9,596)
-4.9%
Power Play
54.6% (624)
55.2% (1,990)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (992)
48.0% (1,094)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Couture is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,626).
Couture shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Couture
Bozak
Home
49.4% (5,418)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
47.1% (5,135)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Couture
Bozak
P1
47.9%
53.2%
P2
47.9%
52.8%
P3
49.2%
54.5%
OT
48.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
45.7%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 14:52 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 04:57 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 1 | 04:53 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 01:37 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 12:15 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 1 | 14:50 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 1 | 12:16 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 19:38 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 09:13 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 13:18 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 12:43 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 10:13 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 07:20 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |