Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Couture wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs Seguin 53.6% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 24-24 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Couture 50.8%
Defensive zone
Seguin 50.5%
Neutral zone
Seguin 52.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Couture
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
24
(48 meetings)
24
24
Couture
Seguin
Last 10: Couture 5-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
Couture
Seguin
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
9
4
Couture
Seguin
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
9
14
Couture
Seguin
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (8,919)
53.7% (8,071)
-4.9%
Power Play
54.6% (624)
55.9% (810)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (992)
49.3% (762)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Couture is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,626).
Couture shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Couture
Seguin
Home
49.4% (5,418)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
47.1% (5,135)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Couture
Seguin
P1
47.9%
52.8%
P2
47.9%
53.3%
P3
49.2%
54.7%
OT
48.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
45.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:21 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:13 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 08:53 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 10:45 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 00:29 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 1 | 06:13 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 13:39 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 05:52 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 05:55 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 06:11 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | Logan Couture |