Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Couture wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 49.0% vs Seguin 55.4% (-8.4%)
Offensive zone
Couture 50.9%
Defensive zone
Seguin 50.7%
Neutral zone
Seguin 55.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Couture
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (78)
56.9% (478)
-12.0%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
57.4% (54)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
51.3% (76)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Couture is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Couture shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Couture
Seguin
Home
45.2% (62)
57.4% (317)
Away
52.9% (34)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Couture
Seguin
P1
55.2%
50.3%
P2
44.4%
60.4%
P3
50.0%
58.0%
OT
16.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%