Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 46.8% vs Seguin 54.5% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 61.7%
Defensive zone
Couture 53.2%
Neutral zone
Couture 55.2%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Couture
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Couture
Seguin
Last 5: Couture 2-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
0
Couture
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
0
Couture
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Couture
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (275)
55.1% (1,036)
-8.9%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
56.9% (174)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (34)
52.2% (230)
-8.1%
On power play, Seguin has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Couture is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Couture shoots left. Seguin is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (948).
Home / Away
Couture
Seguin
Home
46.1% (154)
58.9% (703)
Away
45.6% (171)
51.0% (737)
By Period
Couture
Seguin
P1
45.0%
54.5%
P2
40.8%
53.7%
P3
50.8%
57.0%
OT
50.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
48.1%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
45.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 12:17 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 16:25 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 1 | 08:24 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |