Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Shaw wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 45.5% vs Stajan 49.4% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 75.9%
Defensive zone
Shaw 50.2%
Neutral zone
Shaw 60.8%
Result
Logan Shaw favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Shaw
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Shaw
Stajan
Last 6: Shaw 2-4 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Stajan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
1
Shaw
Stajan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
3
Shaw
Stajan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (418)
50.2% (4,944)
-3.8%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
43.2% (176)
+23.5%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (96)
46.1% (864)
-10.7%
On power play, Shaw has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Shaw is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Shaw shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Home / Away
Shaw
Stajan
Home
46.2% (236)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
43.3% (284)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Shaw
Stajan
P1
41.3%
50.3%
P2
46.4%
48.5%
P3
46.9%
49.4%
Final 5 min
50.4%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
44.6%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Logan Shaw |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 3 | 16:30 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 3 | 01:31 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 02:11 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 02:09 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |