Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 45.5% vs Bergeron 59.2% (-14.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 79.8%
Defensive zone
Shaw 84.7%
Neutral zone
Shaw 86.4%
Result
Logan Shaw favored at 83.3%
83.3%
16.7%
Shaw
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Shaw
Bergeron
Last 8: Shaw 2-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
3
Shaw
Bergeron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Shaw
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (418)
60.1% (13,938)
-13.7%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
60.8% (3,213)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (96)
53.0% (2,776)
-17.6%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Shaw is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Shaw shoots right. Bergeron is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (6,685).
Home / Away
Shaw
Bergeron
Home
46.2% (236)
61.2% (10,028)
Away
43.3% (284)
57.3% (9,930)
By Period
Shaw
Bergeron
P1
41.3%
59.3%
P2
46.4%
60.0%
P3
46.9%
58.6%
Final 5 min
50.4%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
44.6%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 16:44 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 12:43 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 06:09 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 22, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |