Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 50.2% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 60.6%
Defensive zone
Shaw 80.8%
Neutral zone
Shaw 67.2%
Result
Logan Shaw favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Shaw
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Shaw
Bergeron
Last 6: Shaw 2-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
3
Shaw
Bergeron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
0
Shaw
Bergeron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Shaw
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (80)
63.8% (1,102)
-6.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
65.3% (288)
+34.7%
Penalty Kill
32.4% (34)
47.6% (210)
-15.2%
On power play, Shaw has a +34.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Shaw is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Shaw shoots right. Bergeron is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Home / Away
Shaw
Bergeron
Home
56.9% (58)
62.5% (882)
Away
43.9% (57)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Shaw
Bergeron
P1
43.6%
62.5%
P2
50.0%
62.7%
P3
57.9%
60.6%
Final 5 min
44.4%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.4%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 16:44 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 12:43 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 06:09 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |