Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 45.5% vs Bozak 53.4% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 74.7%
Defensive zone
Shaw 70.4%
Neutral zone
Shaw 71.4%
Result
Logan Shaw favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Shaw
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Shaw
Bozak
Last 10: Shaw 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Shaw
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Shaw
Bozak
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
3
Shaw
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (418)
53.7% (9,596)
-7.3%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
55.2% (1,990)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (96)
48.0% (1,094)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Shaw is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Shaw shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Shaw
Bozak
Home
46.2% (236)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
43.3% (284)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Shaw
Bozak
P1
41.3%
53.2%
P2
46.4%
52.8%
P3
46.9%
54.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
44.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 07:57 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 16:29 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 04:12 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 01:05 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 16:39 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 06:22 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |