Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stankoven wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stankoven 45.1% vs Zacha 49.1% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stankoven 76.7%
Defensive zone
Stankoven 68.2%
Neutral zone
Stankoven 71.8%
Result
Logan Stankoven favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Stankoven
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Stankoven
Zacha
Last 6: Stankoven 0-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Stankoven
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
4
Stankoven
Zacha
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Stankoven
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stankoven
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (891)
48.9% (5,102)
-4.3%
Power Play
44.3% (106)
55.6% (804)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
42.2% (555)
+7.8%
On power play, Zacha has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Stankoven is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (717).
Stankoven shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Home / Away
Stankoven
Zacha
Home
45.0% (536)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
44.1% (467)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Stankoven
Zacha
P1
44.4%
49.9%
P2
43.8%
49.2%
P3
46.0%
48.1%
OT
0.0%
53.1%
Final 5 min
40.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stankoven
44.0%▬
43.0%
44.6%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 03:57 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 03:43 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |