Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.2% vs Duchene 54.1% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Wallmark 64.2%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 78.9%
Neutral zone
Wallmark 66.8%
Result
Lucas Wallmark favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Wallmark
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
15
(23 meetings)
8
15
Wallmark
Duchene
Last 10: Wallmark 3-7 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
7
Wallmark
Duchene
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
5
Wallmark
Duchene
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
4
3
Wallmark
Duchene
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,852)
53.9% (10,396)
-3.4%
Power Play
56.3% (103)
56.9% (1,665)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (216)
49.1% (468)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Wallmark is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,391).
Wallmark shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Duchene
Home
50.8% (1,070)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
49.6% (1,101)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Wallmark
Duchene
P1
51.4%
54.5%
P2
50.8%
54.5%
P3
48.7%
53.4%
OT
0.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 16:51 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 12:35 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 3 | 06:01 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 2 | 07:22 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 1 | 09:33 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 1 | 01:21 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 12:15 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 04:13 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 12:09 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 00:34 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 14:16 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 07:34 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 00:21 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 10:27 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |