Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Wallmark wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 44.7% vs Foligno 46.3% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wallmark 52.6%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 65.0%
Neutral zone
Wallmark 54.7%
Result
Lucas Wallmark favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Wallmark
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Wallmark
Foligno
Last 6: Wallmark 2-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
3
Wallmark
Foligno
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wallmark
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (142)
44.0% (159)
-3.2%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
54.9% (51)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
37.3% (51)
-1.6%
On power play, Wallmark has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Wallmark is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (100).
Wallmark shoots left. Foligno is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Foligno
Home
45.8% (48)
43.0% (142)
Away
39.5% (114)
47.1% (119)
By Period
Wallmark
Foligno
P1
35.8%
47.8%
P2
43.9%
42.6%
P3
44.2%
46.2%
Final 5 min
40.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
41.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 17:34 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 01:23 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |