Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.2% vs Foligno 48.6% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 69.0%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 59.2%
Neutral zone
Foligno 51.3%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Wallmark
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Wallmark
Foligno
Last 8: Wallmark 3-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
4
Wallmark
Foligno
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wallmark
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,852)
48.3% (2,810)
+2.2%
Power Play
56.3% (103)
52.3% (730)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (216)
44.0% (455)
+0.9%
On power play, Wallmark has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Wallmark is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,391).
Wallmark shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Foligno
Home
50.8% (1,070)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
49.6% (1,101)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Wallmark
Foligno
P1
51.4%
47.6%
P2
50.8%
50.4%
P3
48.7%
48.3%
OT
0.0%
29.7%
Final 5 min
50.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.2%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 17:34 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 01:23 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 5, 2018 | 3 | 05:54 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |