Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.2% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-7.5%)
Offensive zone
Wallmark 75.0%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 64.4%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 50.9%
Result
Lucas Wallmark favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Wallmark
Gaustad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,852)
58.2% (4,334)
-7.7%
Power Play
56.3% (103)
65.4% (188)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (216)
54.8% (1,290)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Wallmark is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,391).
Wallmark shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Gaustad
Home
50.8% (1,070)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
49.6% (1,101)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Wallmark
Gaustad
P1
51.4%
58.2%
P2
50.8%
56.4%
P3
48.7%
58.3%
OT
0.0%
66.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.2%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%