Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.3% vs Nash 48.2% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Nash 52.7%
Defensive zone
Nash 56.9%
Neutral zone
Nash 59.5%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Wallmark
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Wallmark
Nash
Last 10: Wallmark 3-7 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Wallmark
Nash
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Wallmark
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
1
2
Wallmark
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (633)
48.3% (449)
+1.9%
Power Play
71.9% (32)
37.5% (8)
+34.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (88)
45.5% (55)
-2.3%
On power play, Wallmark has a +34.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Wallmark is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Wallmark shoots left. Nash is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Nash
Home
48.6% (368)
51.6% (275)
Away
51.9% (385)
43.5% (237)
By Period
Wallmark
Nash
P1
49.0%
52.7%
P2
55.0%
43.9%
P3
47.1%
47.7%
Final 5 min
50.8%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.3%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 04:51 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 09:32 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 1 | 19:19 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 11:13 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 10:44 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |