Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.2% vs Nash 48.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Nash 51.9%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 50.1%
Neutral zone
Nash 50.1%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Wallmark
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Wallmark
Nash
Last 10: Wallmark 3-7 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
3
4
Wallmark
Nash
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Wallmark
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
4
2
Wallmark
Nash
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,852)
48.7% (4,621)
+1.8%
Power Play
56.3% (103)
51.0% (249)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (216)
44.9% (550)
+0.0%
On power play, Wallmark has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Wallmark is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (780).
Wallmark shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Nash
Home
50.8% (1,070)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
49.6% (1,101)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Wallmark
Nash
P1
51.4%
49.0%
P2
50.8%
47.9%
P3
48.7%
48.0%
OT
0.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
50.4%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.2%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 02:15 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 04:51 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 09:32 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 1 | 19:19 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 11:13 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 10:44 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 01:58 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 5, 2018 | 1 | 01:43 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |