Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 50.3%). Look for Wallmark on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.3% vs Steel 50.2% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 66.6%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 62.6%
Neutral zone
Steel 51.2%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Wallmark
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Wallmark
Steel
Last 7: Wallmark 5-2 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Wallmark
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
1
0
Wallmark
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
4
0
Wallmark
Steel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (633)
49.7% (638)
+0.5%
Power Play
71.9% (32)
60.3% (63)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (88)
42.4% (33)
+0.8%
On power play, Wallmark has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Wallmark is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Wallmark shoots left. Steel is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Steel
Home
48.6% (368)
47.3% (349)
Away
51.9% (385)
53.0% (385)
By Period
Wallmark
Steel
P1
49.0%
51.2%
P2
55.0%
49.8%
P3
47.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.3%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2020 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 2 | 13:39 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 2 | 08:47 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 1 | 08:20 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 1 | 02:25 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |