Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 50.2%). Look for Wallmark on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.2% vs Steel 50.2% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 58.8%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 55.8%
Neutral zone
Steel 51.7%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Wallmark
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Wallmark
Steel
Last 7: Wallmark 5-2 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Wallmark
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
1
0
Wallmark
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
4
0
Wallmark
Steel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,852)
50.6% (2,876)
-0.1%
Power Play
56.3% (103)
62.6% (179)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (216)
37.4% (254)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Wallmark has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Wallmark is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,391).
Wallmark shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Steel
Home
50.8% (1,070)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
49.6% (1,101)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Wallmark
Steel
P1
51.4%
51.9%
P2
50.8%
49.5%
P3
48.7%
49.6%
OT
0.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.2%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2020 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 2 | 13:39 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 2 | 08:47 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 1 | 08:20 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 1 | 02:25 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |