Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.2% vs Gourde 48.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Wallmark 50.3%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 52.3%
Neutral zone
Wallmark 50.5%
Result
Lucas Wallmark favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Wallmark
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Wallmark
Gourde
Last 10: Wallmark 5-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
3
1
Wallmark
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
2
1
Wallmark
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
4
Wallmark
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,852)
48.4% (4,954)
+2.1%
Power Play
56.3% (103)
57.4% (376)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (216)
39.9% (554)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Wallmark has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Wallmark is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,391).
Wallmark shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Gourde
Home
50.8% (1,070)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
49.6% (1,101)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Wallmark
Gourde
P1
51.4%
49.9%
P2
50.8%
47.4%
P3
48.7%
47.5%
OT
0.0%
37.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 05:55 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 1 | 16:51 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 09:15 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 3 | 00:53 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 1 | 14:56 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 1 | 09:06 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |